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No, Chinese Quantum Advances Did Not Break Encryption Which Remains Secure For Now

Exploring the latest quantum computing research from China, experts clarify that encryption remains secure despite sensational media reports.

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On October 21, 2024, a paper from Chinese researchers at Shanghai University stirred the pot. Titled “Quantum Annealing Public Key Cryptographic Attack Algorithm Based on D-Wave Advantage,” it claims some serious advancements in quantum attacks against encryption. However, the reality paints a different picture, as experts quickly point out the exaggerated nature of these assertions.

The researchers utilized D-Wave’s quantum annealing system to develop an attack on Substitution-Permutation Network (SPN) structured algorithms, which form the basis of widely-used encryption standards like the Advanced Encryption Standard (AES). D-Wave’s quantum annealing system is a specialized type of quantum computer designed to solve optimization problems.

Their approach involved presenting the quantum computer with a combination of an optimization problem and an exponential space search problem, which were then solved using the Ising and QUBO models. These are closely related mathematical frameworks used in physics and optimization.

But here’s the catch: they focused on a 22-bit key, far from the robust 2048-bit encryption used in most secure systems. “Factoring a 50-bit number using a hybrid quantum-classical approach is a far cry from breaking ‘military-grade encryption,” Dr. Erik Garcell told Forbes, emphasizing a significant gap between theory and practice.

National Institute of Standards and Technology working on Quantum Defense

As the news broke, it coincided with recent initiatives from the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). In August, NIST announced three new algorithms designed to strengthen defenses against quantum hacking threats. These new protocols aim to provide security for both government and private sectors, reflecting a proactive stance as quantum computing evolves.

While the paper from Shanghai University has caught the media’s attention, the findings highlight more of a theoretical exercise than a true breakthrough in encryption. Researchers emphasize that while progress in quantum computing is noteworthy, it does not equate to a direct challenge to encryption security as it stands today.

Industry Prepares for Shift in Encryption Methods

The concern regarding quantum threats isn’t new. Financial and telecom industries have already begun preparing for potential shifts in encryption methods. Meanwhile, smaller businesses are still catching up, which raises questions about the overall security landscape. According to Dustin Moody of NIST, “There’s a need for all sectors to ramp up their defenses.”

What’s fascinating about quantum computers is their potential to process information at unprecedented speeds, but stability issues persist. The buzz around quantum attacks often overshadows the long road ahead before these threats can become a reality. Dr. Garcell’s caution serves as a reminder: there’s a difference between exploring possibilities and actual breaches in security.

Media narratives can sometimes misrepresent the findings, leading to exaggerated claims about encryption being compromised. “If the Chinese military had truly broken AES, would they really announce it?” questioned Duncan Jones from Quantinuum. His insight reflects the ongoing need for careful analysis rather than jumping to conclusions based on headlines.

The dialogue around quantum threats is ongoing, with many researchers turning to methods like quantum key distribution (QKD). This approach uses the peculiarities of quantum mechanics to secure communications, but it’s not without its own issues, particularly regarding the physical security of the required technology.

Last Updated on November 7, 2024 2:25 pm CET

Markus Kasanmascheff
Markus Kasanmascheff
Markus has been covering the tech industry for more than 15 years. He is holding a Master´s degree in International Economics and is the founder and managing editor of Winbuzzer.com.

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