Gartners latest device forcast predicts a decline of the PC market for 2015. From 2017 the relatively new segment of premium ultramobiles like the Surface Pro series should start to offset declining PC and Notebook sales.
According to Gartners Ranjit Atwal, “Replacement activity across all types of devices has decreased,” and “users are extending the lifetime of their devices, or deciding not to replace their devices at all.”
For 2015 Gartner's latest device forecast predicts contracting shipments in all device categories except for mobile phones shipments, which should see an increase of 1.4%.
Annette Zimmermann, research director at Gartner estimates that by 2017 mobile phone shipments “will reach the 2 billion mark, and smartphones will represent 89 percent of the market.”
PC market to reach bottom in 2016
Global PC shipments are expected to reach 291 million units in 2015, which is a decline of 7.3 percent year over year. Gartner expects the PC market to bottom in 2016.
“Until the end of 2015, currency devaluation and subsequent price increases will continue to restrain the replacement of ultramobiles premium and notebooks by businesses in particular,” Ranjid Atwal points out.
Recovery expected in 2017
For 2016 he expects that “currency impacts will negate and while Windows 10 products on the Intel Skylake platform will increase in volumes throughout the year, Windows 10 adoption among businesses will ramp sharply in 2017, where we expect the PC market to return to a 4 percent growth.”
Premium ultramobiles on the rise
While ultramobile shipments are estimated to decline of 12 percent since 2014, the segment will start to recover in 2016. Combined with strong increases of premium ultramobiles this will turn around the market in 2017.
Acording toMs. Zimmermann “The tablet market is coming under increasing pressure”,”Users of tablets with a screen size between 7 and 8 inches are increasingly not replacing their devices.”
Gartner's new latest survey conducted in June 2015 across six countries suggests that 44 percent of current tablet users want to substitute their tablets with a different device. The number is even higher for laptop users, where 54 percent might switch to an alternative device.